TFG INVESTMENT TEAM

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Speculating vs. Investing

February 2021  By: TFG INVESTMENT TEAM
Speculating vs. Investing
Over the past several weeks, significant volatility in the share price of video game retailer GameStop dominated news headlines. The shares began to soar at the end of January when investors united on social media platforms to drive the stock price higher (an outcome that was possible given the...

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Our Perspectives on 2020

December 2020  By: TFG INVESTMENT TEAM
Our Perspectives on 2020
When we wrote to our clients at the end of 2019, we opened with the following message: “As we begin a New Year and a new decade, many financial experts are polishing their financial crystal balls in an attempt to predict what the market will – or won’t – do in 2020 and beyond.

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Navigating Uncertainty and Volatility

March 2020  By: TFG INVESTMENT TEAM
Navigating Uncertainty and Volatility
We’re currently in the midst of a period of heightened uncertainty, volatility, and panic due to the COVID-19 (coronavirus) pandemic. Clients are justifiably worried.

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The Perils of Market Timing

October 2018  By: TFG INVESTMENT TEAM
The Perils of Market Timing
Following a choppy start to 2018, the U.S. stock market climbed 8% in the third quarter. However, most of those gains were given back during the recent sell-off. Even with the pullback, longer term returns have still been impressive: through October 24th, the trailing five-year and ten-year returns...

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The Path to Value Realization

July 2018  By: TFG INVESTMENT TEAM
The Path to Value Realization
For many years, we’ve heard market prognosticators proclaim that the current bull market is nearing its fateful end. Between the Euro crisis, the U.S. debt downgrade, concerns about China, Brexit, the “taper tantrum,” and now the threat of an expanding trade war, they have offered plenty of reasons...

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Notes from the Investment Team

May 2018  By: TFG INVESTMENT TEAM
Notes from the Investment Team
2017 was another banner year for investors. The total return (inclusive of dividends) for the S&P 500 was a gain of 22%. There were not any meaningful hiccups along the way; as shown in the chart below, the index posted positive returns in every single month of 2017. International stocks fared even...

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Keeping Our Eyes on Access to Capital

April 2018  By: TFG INVESTMENT TEAM
Keeping Our Eyes on Access to Capital
In 2007, you could count the number of companies with a “AAA” credit rating on two hands. General Electric (GE) was among that select group. But decisions made by management over the preceding 10-15 years eventually led GE to lose that top credit rating in 2009 – and seriously tested the company’s...

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Notes from the Investment Team

January 2018  By: TFG INVESTMENT TEAM
Notes from the Investment Team
2017 was another banner year for investors. The total return (inclusive of dividends) for the S&P 500 was a gain of 22%. There were not any meaningful hiccups along the way; as shown in the chart below, the index posted positive returns in every single month of 2017. International stocks fared even...

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Investment Approach Revisited

October 2017  By: TFG INVESTMENT TEAM
Investment Approach Revisited
The S&P 500 continued its march higher in the third quarter and has now increased by 14% (including dividends) in 2017.  International markets have reported even better results, with the MSCI World index (ex-U.S.) climbing 21% over the same period.

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Where We Are in the Cycle

April 2017  By: TFG INVESTMENT TEAM
Where We Are in the Cycle
In the fourth-quarter newsletter, we discussed how we think about long-term equity return expectations. The purpose of the article was to explain how fundamental returns (driven by earnings growth) and speculative returns (driven by changes in valuation) collectively impact market prices. While...

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